| xiaoauvu | Date: Friday, 15.11.2013, 03:05 | Message # 1 |
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| We are heading to the classic cycle of the warm Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and La Nia and it's the ocean that is running the show. La Nia is officially defined as sustained cold sea surface temperatures anomalies across the central tropical Pacific Ocean but also displays a pressure tendency as well. El Nio is the warm version of this phenomenon.
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As for which answer is correct, I not sure if anyone can accurately know. I wish I could give you a better answer than that. In particular, it looks as if the NASA guy only knows astronomy and not history, and didn't realize the calendar changed (at different dates in different countries too). Then most news media quoted him. But, it seems to me that an astronomer should and would have been able to calculate all the conjunctions of the Winter Solstice and the full Lunar eclipse and then could have said, say in 1638 or 1638 depending upon the calendar you were using. Instead, it seems this one is looking at the calendar date of Dec 21 whether or not it was the solstice. I think the source saying 1554 took this into account; but, I'm not enough of an astronomer to really say for sure. The contradiction in the future predictions is even more puzzling since we are all on the same calendar now.
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